County and congressional district estimates: California could lose 269,000 jobs if the ACA is overturned

Laurel Lucia

Read full blog post, California could lose 269,000 jobs if the ACA is overturned (October 15, 2020)


Projected net job loss if ACA is overturned, by California county, 2022

Certain small counties are combined into regions for more reliable estimates

County Net Job Loss
Alameda 9,700
Contra Costa 6,100
Eastern counties: Alpine, Amador, Calaveras, El Dorado, Inyo, Madera, Mariposa, Mono, and Tuolumne 3,400
Fresno 7,700
Imperial 1,900
Kern 6,500
Kings 900
Los Angeles 85,200
Marin 1,300
Merced 2,300
Monterey and San Benito 3,100
Napa 700
Northern counties: Butte, Colusa, Del Norte, Glenn, Humboldt, Lake, Lassen, Mendocino, Modoc, Nevada, Plumas, Shasta, Sierra, Siskiyou, Sutter, Tehama, Trinity, and Yuba 9,600
Orange 20,600
Placer 1,600
Riverside 15,900
Sacramento 10,300
San Bernardino 15,500
San Diego 18,700
San Francisco 5,100
San Joaquin 5,200
San Luis Obispo 1,500
San Mateo 3,300
Santa Barbara 2,800
Santa Clara 8,700
Santa Cruz 1,800
Solano 2,300
Sonoma 2,800
Stanislaus 4,400
Tulare 3,800
Ventura 5,200
Yolo 1,100
Total
269,000

Notes: Job impacts are rounded to the nearest 100 jobs.
Source: Author’s analysis using IMPLAN


Projected net job loss if ACA is overturned, by California congressional district, 2022

Congressional District Net Job Loss
Doug LaMalfa (CA-1)  5,000
Jared Huffman (CA-2) 4,900
John Garamendi (CA-3)  4,400
Tom McClintock (CA-4)  3,700
Mike Thompson (CA-5)  4,100
Doris O. Matsui (CA-6)  5,400
Ami Bera (CA-7) 4,200
Paul Cook (CA-8)  5,400
Jerry McNerney (CA-9) 5,400
Josh Harder (CA-10)  5,700
Mark DeSaulnier (CA-11)  4,200
Nancy Pelosi (CA-12)  4,300
Barbara Lee (CA-13)  5,600
Jackie Speier (CA-14) 3,700
Eric Swalwell (CA-15) 3,600
Jim Costa (CA-16) 6,500
Ro Khanna (CA-17) 3,100
Anna G. Eshoo (CA-18) 2,300
Zoe Lofgren (CA-19)  4,700
Jimmy Panetta (CA-20) 4,800
TJ Cox (CA-21) 6,000
Devin Nunes (CA-22) 5,100
Kevin McCarthy (CA-23) 4,600
Salud O. Carbajal (CA-24) 4,200
Mike Garcia (CA-25) 4,800
Julia Brownley (CA-26) 4,400
Judy Chu (CA-27)  6,300
Adam B. Schiff (CA-28)  6,800
Tony Cárdenas (CA-29) 6,900
Brad Sherman (CA-30) 5,500
Pete Aguilar (CA-31) 5,400
Grace F. Napolitano (CA-32)  6,400
Ted Lieu (CA-33) 2,900
Jimmy Gomez (CA-34) 8,200
Norma J. Torres (CA-35)  6,000
Raul Ruiz (CA-36) 5,500
Karen Bass (CA-37)  6,900
Linda T. Sánchez (CA-38) 4,600
Gilbert Cisneros (CA-39)  4,800
Lucille Roybal-Allard (CA-40) 6,200
Mark Takano (CA-41) 5,300
Ken Calvert (CA-42) 4,100
Maxine Waters (CA-43) 6,200
Nanette Diaz Barragán (CA-44) 6,800
Katie Porter (CA-45) 3,500
J. Luis Correa (CA-46)  5,800
Alan S. Lowenthal (CA-47)  5,300
Harley Rouda (CA-48) 4,600
Mike Levin (CA-49) 3,300
Vacant (CA-50) 3,900
Juan Vargas (CA-51) 6,200
Scott H. Peters (CA-52) 2,900
Susan A. Davis (CA-53) 4,000
No district listed 4,800
Total
269,000

Note: Job impacts are rounded to the nearest 100 jobs
Source: Author’s analysis using IMPLAN