In this post we evaluate the possible economic impacts of a proposed restructuring of Oakland’s Gross Receipts Tax, including an evaluation of job impact estimates made by the task force consultant—Blue Sky Consulting Group—and research on what factors affect business location and expansion. We also discuss the importance of strengthening the city’s revenue base to support Oakland’s continued recovery from the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and the importance of improving public services to support business growth and retention.
Policy Research Specialist
Future of Work & Workers
Area of Expertise
Public finance and fiscal policy
Economic and workforce development
Public sector work and workers
Sara Hinkley is a specialist in the Low-Wage Work program, where she focuses on technology and the public sector. She has an extensive research background in labor, workforce, and economic development policy in California and nationally. She has worked for the California Labor Federation, Justice for Janitors, and Good Jobs First developing policies to improve opportunities for low-income people. She was a postdoctoral scholar at the Labor Center and formerly served as associate director of the UC Berkeley Institute for Research on Labor and Employment. Sara has provided research consultation for the Institute of Urban and Regional Development, the Goldman School of Public Policy, the Center for Community Innovation, the County of Los Angeles, and Inclusive Economics.
Sara is also a lecturer in Department of City and Regional Planning at UC Berkeley, where she teaches courses in economic analysis and community and economic development. She holds a Ph.D. in city and regional planning from UC Berkeley, a master’s degree in regional planning from UNC Chapel Hill, and a bachelor’s degree from Amherst College.
Learn more about Sara on her personal website.
California can’t afford to repeat the Great Recession: State spending is critical to economic recovery
California’s 2021-22 budget will have an enormous impact on the nature of California’s recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. The Governor’s 2021-22 budget proposal would restore some critical funding for public health and education, but it will not be sufficient to get California’s economy and low-income Californians back on track. To avoid a prolonged economic downturn, and further damage to California’s most vulnerable residents, California needs to make a much more significant investment in the drivers of economic growth.
This brief summarizes the Great Recession’s impact on public employment and the public sector job losses driven by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Our analysis points to the importance of focusing on the public sector as policymakers respond to the COVID-19 crisis.
In this post we examine the likely impacts of the pandemic on local budgets, the factors still unknown, and the principles that must guide California’s response to this ongoing crisis.
Berkeley Blog post. Although the short-term effect of today’s decision is to throw 17 million public sector workers into uncertainty, it is also possible that Janus v. AFSCME will serve as a turning point for both a reinvigorated politics of labor and a revitalized conversation about the importance of the public sector to our social compact. Both our economy and our democracy depend on what happens next.
Sara Hinkley, of the UC Berkeley Labor Center, contended Thursday there’s no clear evidence that taxes or any other single factor drives business decisions to locate somewhere or move.
If we are to sustain a meaningful democracy, the Democrats need a compelling campaign to fix our public spending so that it supports the majority of Americans on whose backs the economy has been resting.
“One of the shortcoming around the whole conversation around job creation is that we don’t often go back and look to see how accurate the models actually were,” said Hinkley of UC Berkeley.
“Disasters, including pandemics, are often times when there’s an opening for privatization. Sometimes, the public sector can’t really adapt because it’s required to serve everybody,” says Dr. Hinkley.